Sunday, May 31, 2015

Stocks open higher as Dow up about 100 points

Stocks were off to a good start Wednesday as the Dow Jones industrial average jumped more than 100 points at the open.

Investors are eagerly awaiting the minutes from the latest meeting of Federal Reserve policymakers to get clues on the potential timing for interest rate hikes.

The Dow Jones industrial average was up 0.8% and the Standard & Poor's 500 index gained 0.5%. The Nasdaq composite index rose 0.6%.

NEW: USA TODAY's live markets blog

The Fed releases the minutes of its April 29-30 meeting at 2 p.m, ET. After that meeting, the Fed said it would further cut its bond purchases because the U.S. job market needed less help.

It also reaffirmed its plan to keep short-term rates low to support the economy "for a considerable time" after its bond purchases end, likely late this year. It offered no specific timetable for a rate increase.

Retailers were in focus again Wednesday. Target said first-quarter profit fell 16% as losses in its Canadian operation and costs of last year's data breach took a toll, The results missed Wall Street estimates. Shares were up 0.1%.

Lowe's stock fell 0.8% after the retailer missed Wall Street estimates.

Overseas, European markets were higher. Britain's FTSE 100 was up 0.1% and Germany's DAX was up 0.6%.

Asian markets were mixed. Japan's Nikkei index fell 0.2% to 14,042.17 and Hong Kong's Hang Seng index was flat at 22,836.52.

Contributing: The Associated Press

Thursday, May 28, 2015

Target Price Increases Abound For J&J, But Stock Slips

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) was giving up some of Tuesday's gains, although analysts were largely upbeat about the company's better-than-expected first-quarter earnings report, as evidenced by a flurry of target price increases.

Citigroup's Matthew Dodds reiterated a Buy rating and raised his target price by $3 to $114: "JNJ's reported results were ahead of the Street and the underlying performance was even stronger as Olysio is off to a torrid start. With Pharma driving overall growth, JNJ's OM is expanding and estimates are rising suggesting additional room for the stock to increase."

Raymond James' Jayson Bedford reiterated an Outperform rating and raised his target price by $5 to $107. "With revenue growth of 5% and operating income growth of 11%, J&J’s growth profile is tracking towards the higher end of its large cap peer group. Although we would like to see more balanced growth, we believe the Pharma business can remain the growth engine in the near-term as J&J repositions its MD&D and consumer portfolios (J&J is divesting businesses in both segments). With $12 billion in net cash (and an estimated $15 billion in FCF generation in 2014), we believe that J&J has the ability to drive even faster growth through M&A/licensing opportunities. We have confidence in our estimates and raise our price target to $107."

S&P Capital IQ's Jeffrey Loo reiterated a Buy rating on the stock and raised his target price by $4 to $110: "Sales rose 3.5%, on strong pharmaceutical sales, up 10.8%, while medical devices and diagnostics were flat and consumer unit down 3.2%. We are encouraged by the pharma sales and look for continued solid growth with strong sales for Olysio, Stelara, and Simponi. JNJ noted Olysio benefit from Liver society guidelines to use with Gilead’s Sovaldi. But we note pricing pressure remains in device unit."

One dissenting voice came from Credit Suisse's Bruce Nudell, who reitaterated an Underperform rating on the stock, but nonetheless raised his target price by $6 to $100: "Although we see JNJ as fairly valued based on our current estimates, we acknowledge that if the company continues to execute in Pharma (for example ARN-509, approval of Olysio with all oral regimens, market share gains for Xarelto & new indications/share gains for Invokana), there may continue to be upside vs. our estimates & assumed valuation."

See Barron's Take on J&J here.

Wednesday, May 27, 2015

Nestle recalls two kinds of Hot Pockets

Nestle voluntarily recalled two of its Hot Pocket products as part of a larger meat recall, according to a company press release Tuesday.

The food company recalled its "Philly Steak and Cheese" and "Croissant Crust Philly Steak and Cheese" Hot Pockets in specific sizes.

These products may have been affected by a recall by Rancho Feeding Corp. last week of 8.7 million pounds of beef product.

Regulators said the company processed "diseased and unsound animals" without a full federal inspection, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

The USDA says the products were unfit for human consumption.

No illnesses have been reported.

The recalled Hot Pockets were distributed nationwide, according to the Nestle release. The company said "a small quantity of meat" from Rancho was used at a California production facility that makes Hot Pockets.

Nestle's press release lists specific batch sizes being recalled. Customers who bought the recalled Hot Pockets can get a refund by contacting Nestle Consumer Services at 800-392-4057.

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Monday, May 25, 2015

Chevron: That Wasn’t Good

Chevron (CVX) is not supposed to do this, drop more than 3% that is. During the past ten years, it’s averaged a 0.05% gain a day and the last time its shares dropped more than 3% was back in Oct. 2012.

Associated Press

But dropping it is. Chevron’s shares have fallen 3.4% to $112.48 today, while Exxon Mobil (XOM), which released earnings yesterday, has dropped 1.3% to $92.75 and ConocoPhillips (COP), which also released earnings yesterday, has declined 0.8% to $65.20.

Chevron released its own earnings today, and let’s just say they stunk. Like French cheese. The Wall Street Journal has the details:

Chevron Corp. said its fourth-quarter profit fell 32% as the energy giant reported lower global production and weaker refined products margins.

Though profit for the period met Wall Street’s expectations, revenue missed expectations by nearly $9 billion.

Chevron’s global oil-equivalent production for the fourth quarter fell to 2.58 million barrels a day from 2.67 million barrels a day a year earlier, hurt by lower production in the U.S. and abroad…

Looking to 2014, the company has said it is planning to spend about $2 billion less on capital and exploratory investments than what was expected last year. And while Chevron, Exxon and others have spent have spent lavishly to boost their oil and gas output, production has been dropping and profits have been muted, even though oil prices are high.

S&P Capital IQ’s Michael Kay cut his rating on Chevron to Buy from Strong Buy:

We cut our ’14 EPS forecast $0.87 to $11.68, and our target price by $14 to $131, on updated forecasts and multiple analysis. Shares are lower on light ’14 production targets and initial ’13 reserve metrics, we think. Q4 EPS of $2.57, vs. $2.99, misses our view by $0.05 on weak refining and rising project costs. [Chevron] sees less than 1% production growth in ’14, lighter than we projected, and we think a 4%-5% growth rate is further out than previously thought. We view valuation metrics and liquids mix as attractive, but production headwinds will likely impede potential upside.

After today’s drop, shares of Chevron are down 9.8% this year, while Exxon is off 8.2% and ConocoPhillips has dropped 7.6%.

Sunday, May 24, 2015

Netflix rings in the new year with new content

If you are a faithful Netflix user, you may have noticed on Jan. 1 that some movies and television shows were no longer listed as streaming options.

Among the prominent titles that disappeared were Titanic, Flashdance, Top Gun, and Braveheart.

Netflix spokeswoman Jenny McCabe says there is no glitch in the system. Every month, as the licenses of movies and television shows expire, they are replaced by new content.

"Titles come and go … it's just part of life," McCabe told USA TODAY Network. "We usually re-license movies and television shows that people are regularly watching, and we choose to not re-license those that people are not watching."

The good news for Netflix users is a number of movies and television shows have been added as streaming options.

Below is a list of many of the titles added since Jan. 1. Happy streaming!

Dexter: Seasons 5-8
Duplex
Drinking Buddies
Good Ol' Freda
Jack Reacher
The Talented Mr. Ripley
American Psycho
Raging Bull
Thelma And Louise
West Side Story
What's Eating Gilbert Grape
Big Trouble in Little China
Breakfast at Tiffany's
Bull Durham
Red Dawn
Mousehunt
Spaceballs
Star Trek: The Motion Picture
Amelie
Grapes of Wrath
Planes, Trains, and Automobiles
Children of a Lesser God
Tora! Tora! Tora!
Ghost
Play It Again, Sam

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Wednesday, May 20, 2015

Mortgage manager in $2B deal over loan abuses

WASHINGTON (AP) — Ocwen Financial will reduce struggling borrowers' loan balances by $2 billion in an agreement with federal regulators and 49 states over foreclosure abuses.

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and state attorneys general announced the deal Thursday with the Atlanta-based company, one of the largest U.S. mortgage servicers. The regulators said Ocwen pushed borrowers into foreclosure through illegal actions, such as failing to promptly and accurately credit mortgage payments.

The company also miscalculated interest rates and charged borrowers improper fees, the regulators said.

"We believe that Ocwen violated federal consumer financial laws at every stage of the mortgage servicing process," CFPB Director Richard Cordray said in a conference call with reporters. "We have concluded that Ocwen made troubled borrowers even more vulnerable to foreclosure."

MORTGAGE RATES: Average 30-year rate moves up to 4.47%

Under the agreement, Ocwen also will refund a combined $125 million to about 185,000 borrowers who had been foreclosed upon from 2009 through 2012. It also agreed to change the way it manages mortgages. The company must stop "robo-signing" of documents, the practice of automatically signing off on foreclosures without a proper review.

The agreement must be approved by a federal court in Washington.

Ocwen said in a statement it was pleased to have reached the settlement.

The agreement "is in alignment with the same ultimate goals that we share with the regulators — to prevent foreclosures and help struggling families keep their homes," the company said.

Ocwen is the fourth-largest mortgage servicer in the country and the biggest that isn't a bank. It specializes in servicing high-risk mortgages. Servicing companies collect payments from borrowers and handle customer services, loan modifications and foreclosures.

Federal and state regulators have signed agreements with a number of large banks and mortgage processing compa! nies over foreclosure abuses.

Ocwen's compliance with the settlement will be overseen by Joseph A. Smith Jr., the monitor for the $25 billion settlement reached in February 2012 between the federal government and the states and five major banks — Ally Financial, Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo.

The housing crisis struck starting in 2007, as home values sank and millions of borrowers defaulted on their mortgages. The crisis brought more than 4 million foreclosures. Some mortgage-servicing companies had processed foreclosures without verifying documents.

The CFPB, 49 states and the District of Columbia signed the agreement with Ocwen. Oklahoma is the only state that isn't participating.

The largest share of the mortgage relief, an estimated $342 million, is expected to go to Florida. The state's attorney general, Pam Bondi, said during the conference call that Florida has the highest foreclosure rate in the U.S.

Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Consumer Confidence Tanked During Debt Ceiling Debacle

Young businessman checking his walletAlamy The ugly fight in Washington that shut down the government and nearly failed to raise the debt limit took a serious toll on consumer confidence. The Conference Board's monthly Consumer Confidence Index was released Tuesday, and it showed that people's confidence in the U.S. economy dipped sharply in October. In one month, the confidence index fell from 80.2 to 71.2, and the nonprofit that publishes the survey pointed the finger at the budget crisis. "Consumer confidence deteriorated considerably as the federal government shutdown and debt-ceiling crisis took a particularly large toll on consumers' expectations," wrote Lynn Franco, Director of Economic Indicators at The Conference Board. Franco went on to note that similar dips have been observed last year during the "fiscal cliff" debate and during the last government shutdown in the mid-1990s. The Conference Board isn't alone in its assessment that the shutdown hurt consumer confidence: Last week's Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan consumer confidence survey found that confidence in the economy had reached its lowest ebb since December 2012. Consumer confidence is a closely watched economic indicator, and the troublesome reports come just a month before the official kick-off of the holiday shopping season. And that could spell trouble for the retail industry and the economy as a whole. "With the holiday shopping season around the corner, consumers have been shaken by all the political turmoil in Washington," wrote IHS Global Insights economist Chris Christopher in an email. "Looking ahead, we expect consumer confidence to gain traction in the upcoming months; however, confidence falls faster than it rises." There is a potential silver lining for consumers, though -- as Christopher points out, retailers will be discounting heavily to convince shoppers to shake off their worries and get to the mall.

Monday, May 18, 2015

These High Dividend Stocks Can Withstand Rising Rates, Morgan Stanley Says

If this year’s hit to dividend-paying sectors taught us anything, it’s that rising Treasury yields can be dangerous for income-producing stocks. That leaves investors in a bind. Do you by high-dividend payers and hope for the best or give up on income completely?

Bloomberg News

Well, Morgan Stanley yesterday released a report that looks for stocks with a dividend yield of at least 3% but who’s fundamentals should allow it to hold up just fine, even if rates rise. Its analysts started by looking for stocks with payout ratios of less than 75%, low debt and net income compound annual return of at least 5%. They looked at the historical tendency of the stocks to Treasury rates, the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones US Select Dividend Index. They asked their analysts to recommend stocks with little near-term debt maturing, stocks that would benefit from an improving US economy and inflation protection features. And they came up with a list of 20.

Abbvie (ABBV)
Ameren Corp. (AEE)
Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG)
E.I. DuPont de Nemours & Co. (DD)
ENSCO (ESV)
Enterprise Products Partners LP (EPD)
General Mills (GIS)
H&R Block (HRB)
Hancock Holding (HBHC)
Kraft Foods Group (KRFT)
Lorillard (LO)
Magellan Midstream Partners LP (MMP)
MarkWest Energy Partners L P (MWE)
McDonald’s (MCD)
Microchip Technology (MCHP)
NextEra Energy (NEE)
Regency Centers (REG)
TELUS Corp. (TU)
West Corp. (WSTC)
Williams Companies (WMB)

The stocks with the lowest correlation include Hancock Holding, Telus, WestCorp and MarkWest.

 

Wednesday, May 13, 2015

5 Reasons the Holiday Shopping Season Starts Early This Year

young females wearing summer clothes on hot sunny day bemused at early christmas shop window displayAlamy For almost as long as Christmas has been a commercialized holiday, there have been complaints about "Christmas Creep" -- the tendency for retailers to launch holiday sales and advertising earlier and earlier every year. This year, it seems to be worse than ever. We're already seeing the first commercials for Christmas shopping, and major retailers like Kmart (SHLD), Toys R Us and Walmart (WMT) are eagerly telling us what toys they expect to be top sellers this season. And Christmas is still three months away. "It does feel like the holidays begin earlier every year," says Alison Kenney Paul, head of the retail practice at Deloitte. As it turns out, there are a few reasons why Christmas Creep has been taken to new heights this year. No Presidential Election. Last year, two men stood in the way of the inexorable spread of Christmas: Mitt Romney and Barack Obama. The presidential election served as a bulwark of sorts, holding the public's attention and making it more expensive for retailers to run television ads in October. This year, retailers have free rein to take over the airwaves in the fall, and you can expect them to take advantage. "Between paid political advertising and media attention, the election crowded out the ability for retailers to get their message out there earlier," says Paul. "We'll see more advertising and promotions earlier this year." A Late Black Friday. Every year, Thanksgiving falls on the fourth Thursday of November, with Black Friday coming the next day (well, in theory). But this year, the first of November falls on a Friday, which means that Thanksgiving (Nov 28) and Black Friday (Nov. 29) are as late as they can possibly be. "It is a shorter season than last year," says Paul. "You do have this phenomenon every few years where there's fewer days between Thanksgiving and Christmas." Think retailers are really going to wait around until Nov. 29 to roll out their big promotional efforts? Think again. While Black Friday will still be a big deal, its late arrival means that many retailers will place more emphasis on pre-Black Friday deals and promotions. "I think there will be a first wave of promotions before black Friday," says Jeff Feinberg, a retail industry veteran and a managing director with Alvarez & Marsal Private Equity Services. A Ridiculously Early Hanukkah. The late Thanksgiving is also intersecting with an unusually early Hanukkah -- in fact, the first night of the Jewish holiday falls on the evening Thanksgiving, which means Jewish shoppers really cant wait until Black Friday to do their shopping. And by the time Cyber Monday rolls around, the holiday will be more than half over. That's raised the specter of a second Black Friday aimed specifically at Jewish shoppers; we think it's more likely that this will simply be another reason for retailer to roll out promotions earlier in the season. Still, it's important to remember that only about 2 percent of the American population are Jewish, so this is a minor factor in the grand scheme of things. Paul says that while the early Hannukah gives retailers another platform to talk about the holidays, Jews are generally "too small a group to move the needle." Still, you may see a small effect on promotional activity in regions with heavy Jewish populations. (In some major markets in New York, Florida and California, for example, Jews represent a much higher percentage of shoppers -- one that retailers can't afford to ignore.) More Focus on Low-Income Shoppers. Walmart officially kicked off the holiday season back in August, when it announced its holiday layaway program. Meanwhile, Kmart aired what seems to be the first official holiday commercial of the season -- an ad for its layaway program. See a pattern? These discount retailers aren't doing a good enough job of connecting with the low-income shoppers who are supposed to be their bread-and-butter -- which is why they're offering services like free layaway in hopes of winning them back. And layaway, by its nature, needs to start early. So while some may rage at the absurdity of promoting Christmas shopping in September, keep in mind that these ads aren't necessarily aimed at you -- they're for the paycheck-to-paycheck shoppers who will benefit by putting toys on layaway now so they can pay for Christmas later. "Economic Headwinds." This has become a favorite phrase of retail executives who struggle to explain why their sales are weak, though Feinberg says that such concerns are somewhat exaggerated. "We're not in a meltdown; we don't have a flurry of companies shutting down factories," he says. Still, he notes that there's less hiring and stagnated wages, along with general concerns around gas prices and government gridlock. All of these factors have conspired to keep American purse strings relatively tight, and that's going to have skittish retailers eager to get out ahead of the competition -- especially in the wake of relatively light back-to-school sales. So all signs point toward an earlier shopping season. That's a strategy we're already seeing from Toys R Us, which earlier this month started offering big deals for early shoppers. At the time, we suggested that you take retailers up on the offer if the deals are good and you want to avoid the malls in December. But the same factors that are pushing retailers toward an earlier holiday shopping season might also dictate caution to the deal-hunting consumer. "At the first indication that things aren't going well, retailers are not going to wait a week for things to pick up," says Feinberg. "If Black Friday weekend is mediocre, I suspect those first two weeks of December will be huge for the consumer." As retailers start pushing sales and promotions over the next month, by all means listen to what they have to say. But if they're desperate enough to start running Christmas ads in September, they may also be desperate enough to go discount-crazy in December. Stay tuned.

Tuesday, May 12, 2015

EV Energy Partners to Acquire Natural Gas Properties from Carrizo (EVEP, CRZO)

EV Energy Partners, L.P. (EVEP) announced on Friday that it will acquire natural gas assets from Carrizo Oil and Gas, Inc (CRZO).

With the help of institutional partnerships managed by EnerVest, EVEP will acquire a 31% stake in natural gas properties in the Barnett Shale from CRZO for $67.6 million. Including the partnerships managed by EnerVest, the deal will be worth a total of $218 million.

The deal has been approved by the board of directors of both companies and is expected to be finalized on October 31. The assets include 82 wells and over 17,000 gross acres.

EV Energy shares were mostly flat during pre-market trading Friday. The stock is down 36% YTD.

Sunday, May 10, 2015

10 Worst Charities in America

Well-run charities in the U.S. use their own staff to raise funds, and spend most of the donations on easily verifiable activities. Experts say a charity should spend less than 35 cents on the dollar for fundraising.

The underbelly of the charity game looks a lot different.

A report published last week by the Tampa Bay Times and The Center for Investigative Reporting, based on a year-long investigation, identified some 6,000 charities that pay huge shares of their donations to for-profit companies to raise money for them.

These 501(c)(3) outfits gull donors by adopting popular causes or calling themselves names similar to those of well-known charities, according to the report. “The nation’s 50 worst charities have paid their solicitors nearly $1 billion over the past 10 years that could have gone to charitable works,” the report said.

Based on their names, 14 of the 50 charities supported law enforcers, firefighters or paramedics; 13 focused on children; 10 took up cancer as a cause; and six supported military veterans.

(Check out 6 Bad Athlete Charities on AdvisorOne.)

The report’s findings include the following:

Following are the 10 worst offenders based on cash paid to solicitors in the past decade as identified by the Times and CIR.

State trooper vehicle on highway patrol. (Photo: AP)10. Children’s Cancer Fund of America

Total raised by solicitors: $37.5 million

Paid to solicitors: $29.2 million

Percentage spent on direct cash aid: 5.3%

 

9. American Association of State Troopers

Total raised by solicitors: $45 million

Paid to solicitors: $36 million

Percentage spent on direct cash aid: 8.6%

A SWAT team. (Photo: AP)8. National Veterans Service Fund

Total raised by solicitors: $70.2 million

Paid to solicitors: $36.9 million

Percentage spent on direct cash aid: 7.8%

 

7. International Union of Police Associations, AFL-CIO

Total raised by solicitors: $57.2 million

Paid to solicitors: $41.4 million

Percentage spent on direct cash aid: 0.5%

6. Breast Cancer Relief Foundation

Total raised by solicitors: $63.9 million

Paid to solicitors: $44.8 million

Percentage spent on direct cash aid: 2.2%

 

5. Firefighters Charitable Foundation         

Total raised by solicitors: $63.8 million

Paid to solicitors: $54.7 million

Percentage spent on direct cash aid: 8.4%

Pink breast cancer ribbon4. American Breast Cancer Foundation

Total raised by solicitors: $80.8 million

Paid to solicitors: $59.8 million

Percentage spent on direct cash aid: 5.3%

 

3. Children’s Wish Foundation International

Total raised by solicitors: $96.8 million

Paid to solicitors: $63.6 million

Percentage spent on direct cash aid: 10.8%

2. Cancer Fund of America

Total raised by solicitors: $98 million

Paid to solicitors: $80.4 million

Percentage spent on direct cash aid: 0.9%

 

1. Kids Wish Network

Total raised by solicitors: $127.8 million

Paid to solicitors: $109.8 million

Percentage spent on direct cash aid: 2.5%

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Check out 6 Bad Athlete Charities on AdvisorOne.